


Crisis comes, there will be something sparkling. Against the risk of medicine known as the gold, in the Wall Street crisis, more and more investors to enter the field of vision. This month, the international gold exploration to a minimum 830 U.S. dollars / ounce below the maximum more than 910 U.S. dollars / oz. But contrast this, "Nan Yu century," the financial crisis, a wide range of contrast on the "golden highlights the value of the hedge," comments, the actual performance of gold can only "low profile" to describe. Gold is light enough to attract the capital to find safe haven? Or other factors, some of the stall in the footsteps of gold? "Low profile" why not? Financial crisis, gold watch When the Dow Jones index fell below 10,000 for the first time in four years, the global stock market; when the market as Washington 900,000,000,000 U.S. dollars capital injection to save the city's news release had never been the same; the world when the central bank to cut interest rates in order to jointly confront the financial crisis ... ... This , Appears on the currency are bad, good news for gold. Bank of China senior trader Xu said that as global stock markets fell last week, first of all a large number of capital flows to the United States government bonds, but the beginning of this week, the bond market has not expanded to meet the demand for hedge funds, combined with pressure to cut interest rates make bond , The gold market into a new flow of funds. September 29 700,000,000,000 U.S. dollars rescue package blocked, the same day the international gold break 900 U.S. dollars / oz. Oct. 2 new rescue package passed, the price was dropped to 830 U.S. dollars / oz at the bottom. However, as the crisis continues to worsen after, even if the total capital injection to save the market size increased to 900,000,000,000 U.S. dollars, gold prices still climbed to 900 U.S. dollars / ounce mark. Xu believes that if the rescue package is indeed living in a stable economy, gold will be suppressed, but the status quo, 900,000,000,000 U.S. dollars of the plan have yet to have any substantial effect. In the long run, 900,000,000,000 U.S. dollars in most of the bonds will be issued in the form of, the market will increase demand for dollar-denominated assets; but the high deficit will continue to promote the depreciation of the dollar, the dollar loss in the value of precious metals such as gold will be in the market To make up for. Together the world's central banks to cut interest rates to ensure that such action against an economic downturn, perhaps gold is a bad. But in the short term, make money from the bank to cut interest rates, bond market withdrawal, given the current strong sentiment hedge funds even more biased in favor of the safe flow of investment channels; together at the same time not to cut interest rates immediately to calm down the market panic, leading to 10 8 gold was close to 920 U.S. dollars / oz. Can escape "Good News", but only recently the international gold "looks pretty good." Washed every 900 U.S. dollars / ounce mark, there will always be an invisible force in the back. In mid-March of this year compared to the second loan crisis has not caused the financial turmoil, the economic crisis is still in the "psychological stage", the international gold price has exceeded 1000 U.S. dollars / oz. Now the crisis into a reality, more strong demand for hedge, gold by the apparent resistance, what is the truth? Under normal circumstances, to judge the trend of the international gold price, there will always talking about the two major factors --- the dollar and crude oil. Gold and U.S. dollars, "the shift in the" strong dollar, U.S. dollar investment opportunity, people will chase dollars; on the contrary when the dollar on the foreign exchange market weaker, the gold price will be higher. In addition, gold is a hedge against inflation below the inflation rate of goods, the rise in oil prices means that inflation will necessarily follow, and gold prices will also rise. In the last two months, the dollar changed prior to the weak trend, showing a strong rebound. Financial crisis originating in the United States, the United States Government to take the first series of the rescue package, so that the U.S. dollar will continue to be, as of yesterday, the dollar index is still at a high of 80.67, slightly by 0.3 percent, analysts believe that the current high for the U.S. dollar was slightly down . Since the financial crisis spreading to the U.S. real economy, decline in demand for crude oil, since crude oil prices in October fell for a few days to a current level of 89 U.S. dollars / barrel. The strong dollar and weak oil prices, rising gold prices were to stop. At the same time last week, global commodity prices in general fell 10 percent as a commodity, gold is also affected. On one side is under the crisis of rising demand for hedge, is the U.S. side, crude oil, other commodities such as gold on the bad, analysts called this "a wrestling gold", how to get gold in the future, it is necessary to see While an even more advantageous position. A more severe concussion from the Oct. 8, the day before the U.S. and basically the same as that of crude oil was down 3.15 percent, while gold prices rose 3.5 percent. Gold in gold (now 600,489 shares, market, information, the main trading), traders said gold has been out of the fetters of the dollar and crude oil in a variety of commodities out completely independent. Golden Bear City, cattle flash From August to date, the international price shocks did not exceed 790 U.S. dollars / ounce to 920 U.S. dollars / oz. In the process, but market sentiment turning point occurred. 8 At the end of the week, the international emerging gold over the past 25 years the largest decline, down 8.4 percent the week, fell below 800 U.S. dollars / oz. Some market participants are of the view that since the beginning of 2006 the gold bull market has come to an end. At that time the main conclusions derived from technical analysis: the international gold from the early 2006's 600 U.S. dollars / ounce in March this year, rose all the way 1000 U.S. dollars / ounce its highest point, and then to the end of 8 below 800 U.S. dollars / ounce, or Taking in just about 50%, while the price adjustment going on for nearly two quarters, whether the adjustment or duration, have entered a bear market. At that time, coincides with the introduction of the first half of the countries of the European economic data, the major countries in the euro zone GDP data worrying that the euro coupled with the country's relatively high interest rate environment, capital began returning to the U.S. dollar has shown a strong start. Therefore, the international gold prospects in the industry predict Qudan. Change has come so fast, when people will be attention to a collapse of the investment banking house, "collapse" in the Dow Jones index, the gold market quietly turn in the right direction. "Golden Bear" factors as the crisis seems to fall apart, just less than a month time, the bull market has become increasingly clear signal. By the end of September, the world's exchange-traded index funds (ETFs) in the gold trade reached a record high of 1092 tons. Some commentators said, it seems that investors in the global equity markets are on the brink of panic, they have to sell low-priced shares and gold as a safe haven. At the same time, the countries of central bank gold sales have slowed, as 357 tons. This is because the central bank gold agreement signed by the country's obligation to the annual gold sales at less than 500 tons. In view of the rising enthusiasm for the market, some said the central bank gold sales are controlled. Analysts believe that the gold ETF trading rose to a new high of 1092 tons, as well as the current international price shocks of the intense performance of the gold market showed that hot money in and out frequently, although the obvious characteristics of the bull market, short-term gold still exists a lot of speculation risks. However, the International Committee of gold experts have pointed out that investment than to invest in gold and other precious metals assets to more stable market, gold market is still the core assets with long-term. Data show that the average silver more than 22 days for the volatility of 36.9 percent, 34.2 percent for crude oil, platinum for 27.8 percent, the Nikkei index to 25.5 percent, the FTSE 100 index was 23.2 percent, while only 19.8 percent gold.